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J2 League. Matchday 23

Kyoto Sanga vs Albirex Niigata analysis

Kyoto Sanga Albirex Niigata
48 ELO 39
15% Tilt 64%
1725º General ELO ranking 3339º
Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
48.2%
Kyoto Sanga
22.5%
Draw
29.3%
Albirex Niigata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
Kyoto Sanga
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
29.3%
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kyoto Sanga
+15%
+68%
Albirex Niigata

Basic stats

44
56
POS
11
9
SOT
4
5
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
15
20
FRK
48
39
ELO
1.9
1.4
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Kyoto Sanga
Their league position
Albirex Niigata
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
61
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Júbilo Iwata
73
87
43%
Kyoto Sanga
71
86
44%
Ventforet Kofu
63
77
25%
V-Varen Nagasaki
62
73
18%
Albirex Niigata
61
77
12%
Machida Zelvia
58
71
20%
Montedio Yamagata
58
71
20%
Ryūkyū
52
65
21%
JEF United
50
60
10º
19%
Mito Hollyhock
10º
49
61
19%
Fagiano Okayama
11º
44
53
12º
20%
Tokyo Verdy
12º
44
58
11º
17%
Blaublitz Akita
13º
39
48
13º
19%
Tochigi
14º
37
47
14º
15%
Omiya Ardija
15º
34
43
15º
11%
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
16º
34
43
16º
11%
Renofa Yamaguchi
17º
33
41
18º
10%
Zweigen Kanazawa
18º
32
42
17º
10%
Ehime
19º
32
41
19º
11%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
20º
31
39
20º
13%
Matsumoto Yamaga
21º
31
39
21º
13%
Sagamihara
22º
29
36
22º
22%
Expected probabilities
Kyoto Sanga
Albirex Niigata
Champion
42% 7%
Promotion
44% 8%
Mid-table
14% 84%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Albirex Niigata
ALB
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
Cerezo Osaka
CER
Omiya Ardija
OMI
Vissel Kobe
VIS
Ryūkyū
RYK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kyoto Sanga
Kyoto Sanga
1%
X%
2%
ELO KYO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2021
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 - 2
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
42%
27%
31%
893 705 -188 +4
07 Jul. 2021
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
44%
27%
29%
887 735 -152 +6
03 Jul. 2021
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
0 - 2
V-Varen Nagasaki
VVA
51%
25%
24%
892 659 233 -6
26 Jun. 2021
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
2 - 0
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
47%
27%
26%
888 778 110 +4
19 Jun. 2021
ZWE
Zweigen Kanazawa
1 - 2
Kyoto Sanga
KYO
37%
28%
35%
885 547 -338 +2

Matches

Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jul. 2021
ALB
Albirex Niigata
3 - 0
Tochigi
TOC
46%
27%
27%
574 641 -67 +6
03 Jul. 2021
JUB
Júbilo Iwata
3 - 2
Albirex Niigata
ALB
47%
27%
26%
577 594 17 -3
26 Jun. 2021
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 0
Mito Hollyhock
MIT
41%
28%
31%
577 735 -158 0
21 Jun. 2021
BLA
Blaublitz Akita
0 - 2
Albirex Niigata
ALB
39%
28%
33%
573 314 -259 +4
13 Jun. 2021
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 1
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
42%
27%
31%
576 763 -187 -3