NPFL round 35

Kwara United vs Lobi Stars analysis

Kwara United Lobi Stars
71 ELO 69
-16.4% Tilt -8.4%
1562º General ELO ranking 1635º
Country ELO ranking 21º
ELO win probability
41%
Kwara United
29.3%
Draw
29.7%
Lobi Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
Kwara United
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.4%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
29.6%
Win probability
Lobi Stars
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kwara United
+3%
-30%
Lobi Stars

Points and table prediction

Kwara United
Their league position
Lobi Stars
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
16º
14º
26
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
20º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Remo Stars
71
71
100%
Rivers United
64
64
100%
Abia Warriors
60
60
100%
Ikorodu City
59
59
100%
Bendel Insurance
57
57
100%
Plateau United
54
57
100%
Enyimba
55
55
100%
Shooting Stars
54
54
100%
Kano Pillars
53
53
100%
Enugu Rangers
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Bayelsa United
11º
52
52
11º
100%
Nasarawa United
12º
52
52
12º
100%
Niger Tornadoes
13º
51
51
13º
100%
Kwara United
14º
50
50
14º
0%
Katsina United
15º
50
50
15º
0%
Heartland Owerri
16º
48
48
16º
100%
El Kanemi Warriors
17º
47
47
17º
100%
Akwa United
18º
44
44
18º
100%
Sunshine Stars
19º
42
42
19º
100%
Lobi Stars
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kwara United
Lobi Stars
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Kwara United
Lobi Stars
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kwara United
Kwara United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2025
HEA
Heartland Owerri
0 - 0
Kwara United
KWA
43%
28%
29%
70 70 0 0
16 Apr. 2025
SFC
Solution
0 - 3
Kwara United
KWA
6%
13%
82%
69 14 55 +1
13 Apr. 2025
KWA
Kwara United
0 - 1
Bendel Insurance
BEN
44%
30%
27%
70 70 0 -1
06 Apr. 2025
PLA
Plateau United
0 - 0
Kwara United
KWA
46%
26%
27%
70 70 0 0
02 Apr. 2025
KWA
Kwara United
1 - 0
Gombe United
GOM
52%
24%
24%
70 61 9 0

Matches

Lobi Stars
Lobi Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
LOB
Lobi Stars
2 - 4
Enugu Rangers
ENU
52%
27%
21%
70 70 0 0
13 Apr. 2025
KAN
Kano Pillars
2 - 0
Lobi Stars
LOB
45%
28%
27%
70 70 0 0
09 Apr. 2025
LOB
Lobi Stars
2 - 2
Remo Stars
REM
46%
27%
27%
70 70 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
LOB
Lobi Stars
1 - 1
Sunshine Stars
SUN
47%
27%
25%
70 70 0 0
02 Apr. 2025
LOB
Lobi Stars
1 - 2
Solution
SFC
82%
13%
5%
69 15 54 +1