Kwai Tsing vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
67.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
8º
14º
14º
38
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kwai Tsing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
EAD
1 - 0
KWA
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
NDT
3 - 1
KWA
82%
13%
5%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KWA
1 - 5
WIN
15%
20%
65%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
KWA
1 - 2
HVA
27%
22%
51%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
5 - 1
KWA
54%
20%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
0 - 2
CWD
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
KWL
2 - 0
SCA
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAA
1 - 1
SCA
21%
21%
57%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCA
4 - 0
NDT
24%
24%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HOI
1 - 1
SCA
27%
23%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |