NK Kustošija vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
7º
11º
11º
54
1º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NK Kustošija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
KUS
5 - 2
BIJ
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKJ
3 - 0
KUS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
KUS
1 - 0
DUB
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
KUS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
KUS
0 - 0
VUK
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ZMI
0 - 2
HNK
34%
26%
39%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SPL
2 - 0
HNK
10%
19%
71%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 1
NKD
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
0 - 0
SOL
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BIJ
0 - 0
HNK
34%
26%
40%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |