Kuressaare vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
TJK
1 - 0
KUR
76%
14%
9%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
PAI
1 - 0
KUR
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
KUR
0 - 2
KAL
15%
22%
63%
|
46 | 68 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
KUR
1 - 3
TAM
28%
24%
47%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
KUR
2 - 3
TUL
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
KAL
0 - 1
PAR
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
TAM
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
TRA
1 - 1
PAR
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
LEV
5 - 0
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TAL
2 - 0
PAR
28%
22%
50%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |