Kuressaare vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 1
KUR
87%
10%
3%
|
45 | 77 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
KUR
1 - 4
PAI
41%
24%
35%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
TRA
3 - 0
KUR
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
TAM
1 - 2
KUR
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
KUR
1 - 0
TAL
28%
23%
49%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 4
TAL
10%
17%
74%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 8
FLO
6%
13%
81%
|
31 | 77 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 6
KAL
8%
17%
75%
|
31 | 77 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAI
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
TUL
2 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
9%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +1 |