Kuressaare II vs Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kuressaare II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
TAM
0 - 1
KUR
49%
22%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
LAH
0 - 3
KUR
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
3 - 3
FAT
57%
21%
23%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LAH
3 - 2
KUR
31%
21%
47%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 1
FAT
52%
20%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FCP
0 - 7
TJK
23%
21%
57%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FAT
7 - 0
FCP
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FAT
6 - 0
FCP
41%
22%
37%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TUL
5 - 1
FCP
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
FCP
1 - 1
TAM
30%
22%
49%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |