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Poland Third Division. Matchday 33

KSZO Ostrowiec vs Jeziorak Ilawa analysis

KSZO Ostrowiec Jeziorak Ilawa
29 ELO 15
40% Tilt -20%
10638º General ELO ranking 7063º
92º Country ELO ranking 67º
ELO win probability
65.7%
KSZO Ostrowiec
20.5%
Draw
13.8%
Jeziorak Ilawa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
KSZO Ostrowiec
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.8%
Win probability
Jeziorak Ilawa
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
KSZO Ostrowiec
+27%
-17%
Jeziorak Ilawa

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
KSZO Ostrowiec
65
65
100%
Sandecja Nowy Sacz II
64
64
100%
Start Otwock
61
61
100%
Stomil Olsztyn
60
60
100%
Górnik Wieliczka
59
59
100%
Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie
55
55
50%
Kolejarz Stroze
55
55
50%
Pelikan Lowicz
54
54
100%
Wigry Suwalki
53
53
100%
Przebój Wolbrom
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Sokół Aleksandrów
11º
49
49
11º
100%
Brzesko
12º
43
43
12º
50%
Hetman Zamosc
13º
43
43
13º
50%
Piotrków Trybunalski
14º
42
42
14º
100%
Jeziorak Ilawa
15º
34
34
15º
100%
Nida Pińczów
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Stal Poniatowa
17º
25
25
17º
100%
LKS Łomża
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
KSZO Ostrowiec
Jeziorak Ilawa
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZ
Jeziorak Ilawa
JEZ
Start Otwock
SOT
Hetman Zamosc
HET
Swit Nowy Dwor
SWI
Stal Rzeszow
STA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZO Ostrowiec
1%
X%
2%
ELO KSZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2009
HET
Hetman Zamosc
0 - 2
KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZ
46%
27%
28%
368 311 -57 +2
17 May. 2009
KSZ
KSZO Ostrowiec
1 - 0
Stomil Olsztyn
STO
44%
27%
29%
367 360 7 +1
13 May. 2009
KSZ
KSZO Ostrowiec
2 - 0
LKS Łomża
LOM
49%
26%
25%
365 244 121 +2
10 May. 2009
KOL
Kolejarz Stroze
2 - 2
KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZ
41%
28%
31%
365 243 -122 0
02 May. 2009
KSZ
KSZO Ostrowiec
1 - 1
Wigry Suwalki
WIG
49%
26%
25%
366 249 117 0

Matches

Jeziorak Ilawa
Jeziorak Ilawa
1%
X%
2%
ELO JEZ ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 May. 2009
JEZ
Jeziorak Ilawa
7 - 0
LKS Łomża
LOM
46%
27%
27%
214 240 -26 +3
17 May. 2009
KOL
Kolejarz Stroze
1 - 0
Jeziorak Ilawa
JEZ
47%
27%
26%
216 243 27 -1
13 May. 2009
JEZ
Jeziorak Ilawa
1 - 0
Wigry Suwalki
WIG
46%
27%
28%
214 248 -34 +1
10 May. 2009
PEL
Pelikan Lowicz
3 - 0
Jeziorak Ilawa
JEZ
49%
26%
25%
216 337 121 -2
02 May. 2009
JEZ
Jeziorak Ilawa
0 - 1
Przebój Wolbrom
KPW
46%
27%
27%
217 241 -24 -1