Krupki vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.5%
81.4%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Krupki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
KRU
1 - 3
EDI
10%
15%
75%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
BER
3 - 2
KRU
29%
20%
51%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
KRU
2 - 5
FKU
4%
9%
87%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
AUT
6 - 2
KRU
95%
4%
1%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
KRU
0 - 2
MOL
2%
8%
90%
|
15 | 54 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SMO
0 - 7
MOL
20%
20%
60%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
EDI
0 - 3
SMO
20%
19%
61%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
SMO
3 - 1
FAL
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
BER
5 - 5
SMO
6%
12%
82%
|
43 | 7 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
SMO
1 - 2
KOL
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |