Kose vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
PAI
6 - 0
KOS
92%
6%
2%
|
9 | 51 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
KOS
2 - 1
KEI
5%
10%
85%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KOS
0 - 4
TUL
6%
11%
83%
|
8 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
PIR
8 - 1
KOS
88%
8%
4%
|
8 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2021 |
KOS
1 - 3
FLO
9%
15%
75%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vaprus Pärnu II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VJK
0 - 2
PAR
48%
22%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 2
PAI
6%
13%
81%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
KEI
1 - 3
PAR
58%
19%
23%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
TUL
6 - 1
PAR
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
PAR
3 - 0
PIR
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |