Kongsvinger vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.5%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
20.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kongsvinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
KON
2 - 1
SDF
36%
22%
42%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
SDF
4 - 0
KON
43%
24%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
IKS
0 - 1
KON
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
KFU
1 - 2
KON
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
KON
41%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
FFK
74%
16%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HÄC
2 - 1
FFK
83%
11%
6%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KON
0 - 1
FFK
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FFK
1 - 3
BBS
12%
19%
69%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
STB
1 - 2
FFK
25%
23%
53%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |