Kolubara vs Metalac GM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
31%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31%
41.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kolubara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
KOL
2 - 1
INI
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
BAK
2 - 1
KOL
45%
26%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
KOL
1 - 2
JAV
23%
28%
49%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
MAV
1 - 1
KOL
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
KOL
3 - 3
SIN
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
RAD
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
INI
2 - 3
MET
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
BAK
70%
20%
10%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JAV
0 - 0
MET
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
VOZ
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |