Bundesliga U19 League A Round 3

Köln U19 vs Chemnitzer FC U19 analysis

Köln U19 Chemnitzer FC U19
24 ELO 25
-3.2% Tilt -1.2%
9659º General ELO ranking 9708º
469º Country ELO ranking 473º
ELO win probability
29.7%
Köln U19
22.7%
Draw
47.7%
Chemnitzer FC U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
Köln U19
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
47.6%
Win probability
Chemnitzer FC U19
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Köln U19
+59%
+15%
Chemnitzer FC U19

Points and table prediction

Köln U19
Their league position
Chemnitzer FC U19
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
21º
13º
7
22º
23º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
21º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
B. Leverkusen U19
23
23
100%
Karlsruher SC U19
22
22
100%
Schalke 04 U19
21
21
94%
VfB Stuttgart U19
19
19
0%
VfL Bochum U19
18
19
0%
B. Dortmund U19
16
19
35.5%
RB Leipzig U19
19
19
0%
Bayern München U19
18
18
22.5%
Werder Bremen U19
18
18
16%
B. Mönchengladbach U19
10º
15
15
10º
52.5%
Wolfsburg U19
12º
14
15
11º
20.5%
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
11º
14
14
12º
0%
Köln U19
14º
14
14
13º
0%
Mainz 05 U19
13º
14
14
14º
0%
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
15º
13
13
15º
54%
 Hamburger SV U19
16º
11
12
16º
34%
Heidenheim U19
17º
10
10
17º
16%
1860 München U19
18º
9
10
18º
16%
Hertha BSC U19
19º
9
9
19º
37%
Hannover 96 U19
20º
7
8
20º
12.5%
Hoffenheim U19
23º
7
8
21º
14%
Union Berlin U19
22º
7
7
22º
41%
Chemnitzer FC U19
21º
7
7
23º
69%
Unterhaching U19
24º
6
6
24º
69%
Expected probabilities
Köln U19
Chemnitzer FC U19
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Köln U19
Chemnitzer FC U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln U19
Köln U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
HEI
Heidenheim U19
1 - 1
Köln U19
KOL
71%
17%
13%
22 32 10 0
02 Feb. 2025
KOL
Köln U19
1 - 4
Bayern München U19
BYM
12%
16%
73%
23 38 15 -1
07 Dec. 2024
ALA
Alemannia Aachen U19
0 - 2
Köln U19
KOL
13%
18%
69%
22 13 9 +1
01 Dec. 2024
KOL
Köln U19
3 - 1
Wehen Wiesbaden U19
WEH
72%
16%
12%
22 13 9 0
27 Nov. 2024
MON
B. Mönchengladbach U19
3 - 1
Köln U19
KOL
61%
20%
20%
22 27 5 0

Matches

Chemnitzer FC U19
Chemnitzer FC U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Dec. 2024
CZJ
Carl Zeiss Jena U19
0 - 3
Chemnitzer FC U19
CHE
43%
22%
36%
25 23 2 0
01 Dec. 2024
CHE
Chemnitzer FC U19
1 - 0
RB Leipzig U19
LEI
29%
23%
48%
24 33 9 +1
23 Nov. 2024
ERA
Erzgebirge Aue U19
1 - 2
Chemnitzer FC U19
CHE
45%
21%
33%
23 23 0 +1
02 Nov. 2024
CHE
Chemnitzer FC U19
2 - 2
Hertha BSC U19
HER
15%
17%
68%
22 36 14 +1
26 Oct. 2024
HAL
Hallescher FC U19
2 - 1
Chemnitzer FC U19
CHE
39%
22%
39%
23 21 2 -1