Knockbreda vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
5º
12º
12º
34
5º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Knockbreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ARD
4 - 1
KNO
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
KNO
0 - 3
NEY
40%
24%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
7 - 1
KNO
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KNO
3 - 3
DER
31%
23%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 3
KNO
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 2
BAL
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
INS
0 - 1
HAR
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
INS
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
INS
2 - 2
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
AUN
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +2 |