Northern Ireland Second Division Relegation Group Round 4

Knockbreda vs Dergview FC analysis

Knockbreda Dergview FC
41 ELO 50
17.6% Tilt 19.1%
6005º General ELO ranking 6098º
34º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
24.3%
Knockbreda
22.8%
Draw
52.9%
Dergview FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
Knockbreda
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Knockbreda
Their league position
Dergview FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
41
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Dergview FC
41
9
50.5%
Newington Youth
40
8
0%
Knockbreda
36
8
0%
Ballinamallard United
53
7
100%
Harland & Wolff Welders
52
6
100%
Institute
36
2
100%
Expected probabilities
Knockbreda
Dergview FC
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Knockbreda
Dergview FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Knockbreda
Knockbreda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
BAL
Ballinamallard United
4 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
68%
19%
14%
41 51 10 0
12 Apr. 2023
NEY
Newington Youth
1 - 1
Knockbreda
KNO
66%
19%
16%
41 49 8 0
08 Apr. 2023
KNO
Knockbreda
3 - 2
Institute
INS
32%
24%
45%
39 46 7 +2
04 Apr. 2023
KNO
Knockbreda
0 - 0
Dundela
DUN
15%
20%
65%
39 54 15 0
01 Apr. 2023
KNO
Knockbreda
3 - 2
Ballinamallard United
BAL
15%
20%
65%
38 53 15 +1

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Apr. 2023
DER
Dergview FC
1 - 0
Ballinamallard United
BAL
34%
25%
41%
49 52 3 0
15 Apr. 2023
INS
Institute
1 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
29%
25%
47%
49 44 5 0
08 Apr. 2023
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 0
Harland & Wolff Welders
HAR
28%
25%
47%
48 55 7 +1
25 Mar. 2023
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
3 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
64%
20%
17%
49 55 6 -1
18 Mar. 2023
DER
Dergview FC
2 - 3
Dundela
DUN
30%
25%
45%
49 55 6 0