Kirkley & Pakefield vs Saffron Walden Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
61.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kirkley & Pakefield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
KIR
3 - 4
HOL
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
1 - 2
KIR
18%
20%
62%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
KIR
0 - 0
WAL
75%
15%
10%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
KIR
0 - 2
HIT
14%
18%
69%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
BEA
1 - 2
KIR
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Saffron Walden Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
5 - 0
SAF
68%
17%
15%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
LON
0 - 2
SAF
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
SAF
1 - 0
MIL
65%
19%
17%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HAN
1 - 0
SAF
38%
24%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SAF
2 - 0
CHE
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |