KMC vs Young Africans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
34.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
4º
14º
14º
78
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RUV
2 - 1
KMC
32%
29%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
KMC
1 - 3
NAM
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
MTI
1 - 1
KMC
35%
30%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
IFC
1 - 0
KMC
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
KMC
1 - 3
SIM
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Young Africans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
YOU
3 - 1
TPM
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
USM
2 - 0
YOU
59%
24%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
NAM
49%
26%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 0
RUV
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
YOU
1 - 0
IFC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |