KMC vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KMC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
KMC
1 - 1
TAN
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
KFC
0 - 0
KMC
13%
22%
65%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
KMC
1 - 0
IFC
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
GGF
1 - 2
KMC
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
KMC
2 - 1
JKT
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MTI
3 - 1
GGF
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
MTI
0 - 2
KAG
40%
28%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TAN
3 - 2
MTI
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
MTI
0 - 1
SBS
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
DJF
1 - 1
MTI
48%
28%
24%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |