Kingstonian vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BIS
2 - 5
KIN
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
KIN
1 - 0
HAR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 2
KIN
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
KIN
2 - 0
AFC
14%
21%
66%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
DOR
1 - 0
KIN
70%
17%
13%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 2
CRA
58%
22%
20%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 2
HOR
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 3
DAG
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
HER
1 - 3
HOR
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
NOT
3 - 3
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |