SPL Round 14

Kilmarnock vs Motherwell analysis

Kilmarnock Motherwell
75 ELO 70
-6.8% Tilt 1.8%
524º General ELO ranking 631º
10º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
52.3%
Kilmarnock
24.6%
Draw
23.1%
Motherwell

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.1%
Win probability
Motherwell
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Kilmarnock
Motherwell
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Nov. 2003
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 4
Kilmarnock
KIL
32%
27%
42%
74 64 10 0
09 Nov. 2003
KIL
Kilmarnock
2 - 3
Rangers
GLA
29%
25%
47%
74 83 9 0
01 Nov. 2003
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 5
Celtic
CEL
31%
26%
44%
75 83 8 -1
25 Oct. 2003
HIB
Hibernian FC
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
52%
24%
24%
76 76 0 -1
18 Oct. 2003
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
2 - 3
Kilmarnock
KIL
47%
26%
27%
75 76 1 +1

Matches

Motherwell
Motherwell
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Nov. 2003
MHE
Motherwell
2 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
45%
24%
31%
71 75 4 0
22 Nov. 2003
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 1
Livingston
LIV
47%
24%
30%
71 74 3 0
08 Nov. 2003
DUN
Dundee
0 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
60%
23%
18%
70 78 8 +1
01 Nov. 2003
ABE
Aberdeen
0 - 3
Motherwell
MHE
57%
23%
20%
69 75 6 +1
19 Oct. 2003
MHE
Motherwell
1 - 1
Rangers
GLA
26%
24%
51%
69 83 14 0