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Scottish Championship. Matchday 5

Kilmarnock vs Greenock Morton FC analysis

Kilmarnock Greenock Morton FC
53 ELO 45
24% Tilt -22%
764º General ELO ranking 872º
16º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
67.4%
Kilmarnock
19.7%
Draw
12.8%
Greenock Morton FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.8%
Win probability
Greenock Morton FC
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Basic stats

1
0
GF
0
1
GC
53
45
ELO
2.1
0.8
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Kilmarnock
Their league position
Greenock Morton FC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
20
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Arbroath
41
64
27%
Inverness CT
38
55
15%
Kilmarnock
37
60
15%
Raith Rovers
35
58
17%
Partick Thistle FC
33
65
11%
Hamilton Academical
24
46
17%
Ayr United
21
31
10º
18%
Greenock Morton FC
20
38
18%
Dunfermline Athletic FC
19
31
25%
Queen of the South
10º
18
40
17%
Expected probabilities
Kilmarnock
Greenock Morton FC
Champion
18% 0%
Promotion playoffs
49% 9%
Mid-table
30% 54%
Relegation playoffs
1% 19%
Relegation
2% 18%

ELO progression

Greenock Morton FC
GRE
Kilmarnock
KIL
Raith Rovers
RAI
Partick Thistle FC
PAR
Celtic
CEL
Arbroath
ARB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO KIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2021
KIL
Kilmarnock
3 - 1
Falkirk
FAL
60%
22%
18%
1355 598 757 +3
28 Aug. 2021
KIL
Kilmarnock
0 - 1
Inverness CT
ICT
50%
26%
24%
1359 1212 147 -5
21 Aug. 2021
HAM
Hamilton Academical
0 - 2
Kilmarnock
KIL
41%
28%
32%
1086 894 -192 +6
15 Aug. 2021
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
65%
20%
15%
1089 1909 820 -2
07 Aug. 2021
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
39%
27%
34%
1084 773 -311 +3

Matches

Greenock Morton FC
Greenock Morton FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO GRE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Sep. 2021
CFC
Celtic II
1 - 3
Greenock Morton FC
GRE
34%
27%
39%
771 116 -655 +4
28 Aug. 2021
PAR
Partick Thistle FC
3 - 0
Greenock Morton FC
GRE
45%
27%
29%
777 649 -128 -8
21 Aug. 2021
GRE
Greenock Morton FC
2 - 3
Queen of the South
QOS
46%
27%
26%
781 770 11 -4
07 Aug. 2021
HAM
Hamilton Academical
0 - 1
Greenock Morton FC
GRE
51%
26%
23%
777 899 122 +5
31 Jul. 2021
GRE
Greenock Morton FC
2 - 2
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
45%
27%
28%
777 804 -27 0