Kilmarnock vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
17.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
KIL
3 - 0
LIV
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ICT
2 - 2
KIL
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
KIL
4 - 1
MHE
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
ABE
1 - 2
KIL
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
KIL
2 - 4
HOM
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 4
CEL
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
1 - 1
DUN
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
DUN
0 - 1
ICT
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
MHE
1 - 0
DUN
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2005 |
HIB
1 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |