Kidsgrove Athletic vs Market Drayton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidsgrove Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
GRA
3 - 0
KID
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SUT
0 - 2
KID
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
LIN
1 - 1
KID
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
KID
3 - 2
STA
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
BRI
0 - 4
KID
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Market Drayton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
HUC
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
COA
44%
22%
34%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 2
STA
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
NEW
2 - 1
MAR
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |