Kidlington vs Cirencester Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
1º
11º
10º
58
5º
20º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
85 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 73 |
2º
|
86% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 67 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 66 |
5º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
58 | 62 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 62 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 59 |
8º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 58 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
53 | 56 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
49 | 52 |
11º
|
29.5% | |
|
12º
|
47 | 51 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
13º
|
46 | 49 |
13º
|
56% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 44 |
14º
|
41.5% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 44 |
15º
|
60.5% | |
|
20º
|
6 | 39 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 37 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
68% | |
|
19º
|
23 | 27 |
19º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
20º
|
81.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kidlington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAD
1 - 2
KID
81%
13%
7%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
KID
0 - 3
BIN
22%
21%
57%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
AYL
2 - 0
KID
42%
23%
35%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KID
3 - 0
FCR
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LYD
2 - 4
KID
9%
14%
77%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cirencester Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CIR
1 - 2
WEL
75%
15%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CLE
1 - 2
CIR
14%
20%
67%
|
36 | 13 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CIR
1 - 1
CLE
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 12 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
CIR
1 - 2
THA
78%
13%
8%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BIG
0 - 0
CIR
20%
22%
59%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |