FA Cup 1/64
Global 3-2
Kettering Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
WRE
2 - 1
KET
31%
28%
42%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
KET
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
EBB
0 - 0
KET
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
LIN
1 - 2
KET
42%
24%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
HIS
1 - 0
KET
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
MOR
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 1
KET
27%
26%
48%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
NOT
0 - 2
WYC
26%
29%
45%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
DAG
6 - 1
NOT
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 4
NOT
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |