Kerry FC vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.3%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
89.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
13.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20%
0-4
11.2%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
15.3%
0-5
7.4%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.6%
0-6
4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.1%
0-7
1.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.3%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+485%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
10º
10º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
2 - 1
KEF
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 55 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
GAL
9 - 1
KEF
78%
16%
6%
|
7 | 61 | 54 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
TRE
5%
15%
81%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
BRW
3 - 1
KEF
93%
5%
1%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 2
COB
4%
10%
86%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 2
TRE
45%
24%
31%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
WAT
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
3 - 0
ATH
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
FIN
40%
24%
36%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
LON
1 - 3
ATH
66%
19%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |