CAF U20 . 1/16
First-leg 1-1
Kenya U20s vs Sudan U20s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
KEN
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
KEN
0 - 3
EGY
19%
22%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 0
KEN
76%
16%
9%
|
39 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
CMR
2 - 0
KEN
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
KEN
92%
6%
2%
|
41 | 85 | 44 | -1 |
Matches
Sudan U20s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
KEN
38%
25%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
DZA
3 - 0
REA
67%
20%
14%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
DZA
0 - 0
REA
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2012 |
JOR
0 - 0
REA
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
REA
0 - 3
SAU
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |