Non League Div One Southern Central. Jor. 26

Kempston Rovers vs Welwyn Garden City analysis

Kempston Rovers Welwyn Garden City
16 ELO 29
3.6% Tilt 3.4%
11706º General ELO ranking 8413º
740º Country ELO ranking 437º
ELO win probability
15.5%
Kempston Rovers
18.7%
Draw
65.8%
Welwyn Garden City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
Kempston Rovers
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65.7%
Win probability
Welwyn Garden City
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kempston Rovers
+65%
-2%
Welwyn Garden City

Points and table prediction

Kempston Rovers
Their league position
Welwyn Garden City
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
16º
18º
19º
54
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Biggleswade Town
72
72
100%
Bedford Town
69
69
100%
Ware
62
62
100%
Waltham Abbey
61
61
0%
AFC Dunstable
61
61
0%
Cirencester Town
57
57
100%
Stotfold FC
55
55
100%
Hadley
52
55
72%
Welwyn Garden City
54
54
72%
Biggleswade
10º
48
48
10º
0%
Kings Langley
11º
48
48
11º
0%
Barton Rovers
12º
44
44
12º
0%
Kidlington
13º
44
44
13º
87.5%
Hertford Town
14º
44
44
14º
0%
Aylesbury United
15º
43
43
15º
0%
North Leigh
16º
43
43
16º
0%
Leighton Town
17º
42
42
17º
100%
Thame United FC
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Kempston Rovers
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kempston Rovers
Welwyn Garden City
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Kempston Rovers
Welwyn Garden City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kempston Rovers
Kempston Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
THA
Thame United FC
1 - 0
Kempston Rovers
KEM
69%
17%
14%
17 22 5 0
23 Jan. 2024
AYL
Aylesbury United
0 - 0
Kempston Rovers
KEM
60%
20%
20%
17 21 4 0
13 Jan. 2024
KEM
Kempston Rovers
4 - 2
Ware
WAR
9%
14%
77%
14 30 16 +3
01 Jan. 2024
KEM
Kempston Rovers
0 - 2
AFC Dunstable
AFD
15%
20%
65%
15 30 15 -1
26 Dec. 2023
BAR
Barton Rovers
2 - 2
Kempston Rovers
KEM
72%
17%
11%
15 24 9 0

Matches

Welwyn Garden City
Welwyn Garden City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
1 - 3
North Leigh
NOR
33%
22%
45%
31 37 6 0
13 Jan. 2024
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
3 - 4
Thame United FC
THA
75%
15%
10%
32 21 11 -1
27 Dec. 2023
WAL
Waltham Abbey
1 - 4
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
63%
19%
18%
30 36 6 +2
23 Dec. 2023
WEL
Welwyn Garden City
5 - 4
Ware
WAR
36%
22%
41%
30 33 3 0
16 Dec. 2023
AYL
Aylesbury United
3 - 2
Welwyn Garden City
WEL
23%
22%
55%
31 22 9 -1
X