Kelty Hearts vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
10º
8º
16
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
KHE
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 0
KHE
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 3
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 1
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
KHE
47%
26%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PET
0 - 3
QUE
7%
16%
77%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
DUN
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 1
PET
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
PET
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PET
1 - 1
EDI
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |