Kelty Hearts vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KHE
3 - 0
PET
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
KHE
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 0
KHE
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 3
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 1
ALL
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
GLE
0 - 3
LIN
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LIN
3 - 1
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
LAR
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
LIN
27%
26%
47%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |