Kelty Hearts vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
7º
10º
8º
79
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
QOS
1 - 2
KHE
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
KHE
1 - 1
LIN
11%
17%
72%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
KHE
3 - 0
PET
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PAR
3 - 0
KHE
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 0
KHE
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
ARB
1 - 5
DUN
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 1
QOS
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PET
0 - 2
DUN
15%
23%
62%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
CFC
61%
19%
20%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |