Kelen vs Budaörsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
63.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
12º
11º
38
6º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 66 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 63 |
2º
|
43.5% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 62 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 60 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 47 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 46 |
6º
|
35% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
41% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 39 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 23 |
14º
|
76% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 21 |
15º
|
75.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 15 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ZAL
0 - 0
KEL
35%
23%
42%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SZO
1 - 4
KEL
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KEL
1 - 0
GYR
36%
24%
40%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SZO
3 - 0
KEL
82%
11%
6%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
KIS
1 - 5
KEL
10%
14%
75%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Budaörsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 3
VES
20%
22%
57%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ESE
0 - 11
BUD
9%
13%
78%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CSE
2 - 4
BUD
15%
19%
67%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 4
TAT
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 5
BUD
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +2 |