Keith vs Elgin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.5%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 0
KEI
85%
11%
4%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BRO
1 - 0
KEI
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
KEI
3 - 1
FOR
85%
10%
5%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KEI
14%
17%
70%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
KEI
0 - 0
HUN
37%
22%
41%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Elgin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 0
FRA
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
ELG
6 - 0
LOS
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 5
ELG
12%
20%
68%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
STR
2 - 0
ELG
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
ELG
1 - 4
CWB
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |