Ethiopia Super Cup . Final
Global 4-0
Kedus St George vs Hawasa Ketema analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kedus St George
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
KGI
5 - 0
ETB
55%
22%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
ETB
0 - 1
KGI
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ETH
0 - 1
KGI
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2002 |
KGI
2 - 1
ETH
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
KGI
2 - 1
MEH
50%
23%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hawasa Ketema
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
ENB
2 - 1
AWK
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |