KCB vs Sofapaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
14.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
12º
11º
32
7º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 60 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 60 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 52 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 52 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 48 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
60.5% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 40 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 40 |
13º
|
40% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 36 |
14º
|
59% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 34 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 32 |
16º
|
56.5% | |
|
17º
|
28 | 31 |
17º
|
70% | |
|
18º
|
19 | 23 |
18º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KCB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 4
KCB
31%
28%
42%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KCB
1 - 1
ULI
60%
26%
15%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
MUH
0 - 1
KCB
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 1
KCB
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
KAK
0 - 2
KCB
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SOF
0 - 1
TUS
24%
27%
49%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SOF
1 - 0
POL
31%
28%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
2 - 0
SOF
11%
21%
69%
|
55 | 10 | 45 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
SOF
1 - 2
NAI
47%
27%
26%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ULI
1 - 0
SOF
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |