Kavala vs Triglia Rafinas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
PIE
0 - 2
AOK
32%
29%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
AOK
0 - 1
APO
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 3
AOK
65%
20%
14%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
AOK
2 - 1
ALA
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
OLY
1 - 3
AOK
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Triglia Rafinas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 1
THE
48%
26%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
PAN
1 - 0
TRI
81%
12%
6%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 0
TRI
64%
21%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 0
OLY
46%
26%
28%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
VER
0 - 0
TRI
68%
19%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |