Persha Liga Promotion Group Round 5

Karpaty Lviv vs Inhulets analysis

Karpaty Lviv Inhulets
77 ELO 74
9.7% Tilt -2.3%
420º General ELO ranking 711º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
59%
Karpaty Lviv
22.8%
Draw
18.2%
Inhulets

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
Karpaty Lviv
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.2%
Win probability
Inhulets
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karpaty Lviv
+3%
-11%
Inhulets

Points and table prediction

Karpaty Lviv
Their league position
Inhulets
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
67
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inhulets
67
25
100%
Karpaty Lviv
65
20
100%
Livyi Bereh
54
18
100%
FC Prykarpattia
40
14
100%
FK Epitsentr
44
13
0%
Nyva Buzova
40
13
0%
Viktoriya Sumy
39
9
0%
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
38
9
0%
SC Poltava
10º
37
8
100%
FSC Mariupol
37
6
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Karpaty Lviv
Inhulets
Promotion
100% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%

ELO progression

Karpaty Lviv
Inhulets
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karpaty Lviv
Karpaty Lviv
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2024
LIV
Livyi Bereh
0 - 1
Karpaty Lviv
KPT
36%
28%
36%
77 69 8 0
06 Apr. 2024
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
3 - 1
FSC Mariupol
FYM
71%
19%
10%
76 58 18 +1
29 Mar. 2024
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
1 - 0
Viktoriya Sumy
MYK
72%
18%
9%
76 58 18 0
23 Mar. 2024
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
2 - 1
SC Poltava
POL
70%
19%
11%
76 57 19 0
15 Mar. 2024
KPT
Karpaty Lviv
2 - 2
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
21%
21%
58%
75 85 10 +1

Matches

Inhulets
Inhulets
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 2024
INH
Inhulets
1 - 0
FK Epitsentr
FED
48%
27%
26%
72 71 1 0
06 Apr. 2024
FKA
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 - 0
Inhulets
INH
32%
29%
39%
73 66 7 -1
30 Mar. 2024
INH
Inhulets
0 - 0
Nyva Buzova
FNB
51%
26%
23%
72 67 5 +1
22 Mar. 2024
PRY
FC Prykarpattia
0 - 1
Inhulets
INH
36%
28%
36%
72 65 7 0
01 Mar. 2024
INH
Inhulets
2 - 1
SC Poltava
POL
59%
21%
21%
72 57 15 0