2. Bundesliga - Play Offs Promotion . Final
Global 1-3
Karlsruher SC vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlsruher SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
KSC
2 - 3
CZJ
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
VFR
0 - 2
KSC
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
KSC
0 - 0
PAD
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2018 |
ZWI
2 - 4
KSC
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
KSC
0 - 0
ROS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
DAR
1 - 0
ERZ
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
ERZ
0 - 0
SGD
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
RTV
2 - 1
ERZ
54%
24%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 3
MSV
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ARB
2 - 0
ERZ
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |