Karlovy Vary vs Neratovice-Byškovice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
6º
16º
6º
61
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
64.5% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 53 |
4º
|
84.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 49 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
62% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
46.5% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 41 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
26.5% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 40 |
10º
|
42% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 32 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 31 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 30 |
13º
|
38.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 30 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
52.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 64.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karlovy Vary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
5 - 1
CHO
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
KAR
0 - 2
UJE
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
OLY
2 - 2
KAR
19%
19%
61%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 2
FPK
80%
12%
8%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TEP
2 - 2
KAR
9%
13%
78%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Neratovice-Byškovice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UNL
2 - 3
NER
14%
19%
68%
|
37 | 11 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NER
1 - 1
SOK
40%
24%
37%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FKO
1 - 0
NER
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NER
5 - 1
ADP
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
NER
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |