Karacabey Birlikspor vs Serik Belediye analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Karacabey Birlikspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
BAY
0 - 0
KAR
40%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
KAR
6 - 2
ELA
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
KAR
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
KAR
4 - 0
BUG
69%
20%
11%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
KIR
2 - 1
KAR
46%
28%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Serik Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SER
0 - 3
SAK
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAZ
2 - 0
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SER
1 - 0
BUY
33%
27%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
KIR
0 - 0
SER
56%
25%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
SER
0 - 1
TAR
41%
26%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |