Kapiti Coast United vs Greytown FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
33%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kapiti Coast United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
KCU
0 - 1
UHC
18%
18%
63%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
STO
4 - 1
KCU
80%
12%
8%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
KCU
4 - 0
WAI
41%
22%
37%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
KCU
0 - 8
STO
10%
15%
76%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
KCU
0 - 1
WKA
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Greytown FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
WMR
4 - 0
GFC
59%
20%
21%
|
6 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 1
DVF
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |