Kalmar FF vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
16º
11º
11
11º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 54 |
1º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 51 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 51 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 47 |
4º
|
8% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 46 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 45 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 43 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 41 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 41 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 40 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
10 | 39 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 39 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
11 | 37 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 35 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 34 |
15º
|
22.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 24 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
75% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 11.5% |
|
Relegation
|
8.5% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kalmar FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
SIR
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
3 - 1
KAL
52%
23%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
OIF
4 - 2
KAL
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SIR
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 1
AIK
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
1 - 0
GÖT
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
GÖT
1 - 4
DJU
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GÖT
0 - 3
S08
44%
24%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HIF
1 - 3
GÖT
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
GÖT
2 - 1
OIF
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |