PDL USA Central conference Round 3

Kalamazoo FC vs Michiana FC analysis

Kalamazoo FC Michiana FC
50 ELO 39
-6.4% Tilt 3.8%
6111º General ELO ranking 45648º
121º Country ELO ranking 649º
ELO win probability
66.7%
Kalamazoo FC
17.7%
Draw
15.7%
Michiana FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
Kalamazoo FC
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
15.7%
Win probability
Michiana FC
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kalamazoo FC
-27%
-59%
Michiana FC

Points and table prediction

Kalamazoo FC
Their league position
Michiana FC
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
14º
21º
17º
4
25º
27º
27º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
27º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chicago City
30
33
88%
Fort Wayne
32
32
88%
Flint City Bucks
31
31
95.5%
Des Moines Menace
30
30
100%
Thunder Bay Chill
29
29
100%
RKC
25
25
100%
Cleveland Force
20
20
100%
AFC Ann Arbor
19
19
0%
Toledo Villa
19
19
0%
Peoria
10º
18
18
10º
0%
Manitoba
11º
18
18
11º
0%
St. Charles
12º
18
18
12º
100%
Oakland County
13º
16
16
13º
0%
St. Croix
14º
16
16
14º
0%
Lansing City
15º
16
16
15º
100%
Midwest United
16º
15
15
16º
0%
Kalamazoo FC
17º
15
15
17º
0%
Rochester
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Kings Hammer Cincinnati
21º
10
13
19º
52%
Wichita
19º
12
12
20º
52%
Minneapolis City
20º
12
12
21º
52%
Dayton Dutch Lions
22º
9
9
22º
0%
Chicago Dutch Lions
23º
9
9
23º
22.5%
Buffalo
24º
7
7
24º
75%
Springfield ASC
25º
6
6
25º
100%
Bavarian United
26º
5
5
26º
100%
Michiana FC
27º
4
4
27º
100%
Expected probabilities
Kalamazoo FC
Michiana FC
100% 100%

ELO progression

Kalamazoo FC
Michiana FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kalamazoo FC
Kalamazoo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jul. 2023
OAK
Oakland County
4 - 3
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
31%
21%
48%
51 43 8 0
01 Jul. 2023
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
2 - 2
Lansing City
LCF
75%
15%
10%
51 36 15 0
25 Jun. 2023
LCF
Lansing City
2 - 4
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
20%
20%
60%
50 38 12 +1
22 Jun. 2023
SBL
Michiana FC
1 - 1
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
24%
21%
56%
50 40 10 0
18 Jun. 2023
KAL
Kalamazoo FC
4 - 2
Oakland County
OAK
59%
20%
21%
50 43 7 0

Matches

Michiana FC
Michiana FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jul. 2023
MIC
Flint City Bucks
7 - 0
Michiana FC
SBL
82%
12%
6%
40 63 23 0
24 Jun. 2023
AAA
AFC Ann Arbor
3 - 1
Michiana FC
SBL
68%
17%
15%
41 51 10 -1
22 Jun. 2023
SBL
Michiana FC
1 - 1
Kalamazoo FC
KAL
24%
21%
56%
40 50 10 +1
17 Jun. 2023
SBL
Michiana FC
0 - 0
Midwest United
MUF
51%
21%
28%
40 39 1 0
11 Jun. 2023
OAK
Oakland County
2 - 1
Michiana FC
SBL
54%
20%
26%
41 43 2 -1