Kaizer Chiefs vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
16%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaizer Chiefs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2014 |
CHI
2 - 2
PLS
49%
28%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PIR
0 - 2
CHI
42%
29%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
BID
0 - 3
CHI
46%
28%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2014 |
POL
0 - 0
CHI
27%
29%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MPU
2 - 2
FRE
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SUN
2 - 0
FRE
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 0
BLO
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
FRE
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BID
2 - 0
FRE
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |