Kaiserslautern vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
69.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 1
KAI
23%
23%
55%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
MSV
3 - 1
KAI
46%
23%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
KAI
4 - 0
F91
12%
17%
72%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
KAI
3 - 1
CZJ
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MUN
3 - 1
KAI
26%
24%
51%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FCN
1 - 1
SSV
45%
25%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
ERZ
4 - 3
FCN
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FCN
1 - 1
STP
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
HAN
0 - 4
FCN
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FCN
1 - 1
KSC
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |