Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 1-4
Kaiserslautern vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1996 |
KAI
1 - 1
M05
77%
17%
7%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
KFC
0 - 1
KAI
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
KAI
2 - 0
CZJ
79%
15%
5%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
SGF
1 - 0
KAI
9%
18%
74%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1996 |
SVS
0 - 2
KAI
14%
24%
62%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
CRV
0 - 0
ZEM
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
BUD
1 - 3
CRV
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1996 |
CRV
3 - 1
ZRE
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
HAJ
0 - 1
CRV
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1996 |
RAD
1 - 2
CRV
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |