Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 1-3
Kairat Almaty vs Hapoel Beer Sheva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
HBS
2 - 0
KAI
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
TOB
3 - 5
KAI
27%
26%
47%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
KAI
2 - 1
SIR
70%
19%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
KAI
5 - 1
KAI
68%
20%
13%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
SIR
1 - 2
KAI
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
HBS
2 - 0
KAI
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
HBS
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2019 |
HBS
1 - 0
LAÇ
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
HBS
22%
23%
55%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2019 |
HBS
2 - 2
POG
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |