Kagran vs Simmeringer SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
62.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+176%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
12º
16º
12º
24
10º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 60 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 60 |
2º
|
51% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 53 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 52 |
4º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 44 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 44 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
10º
|
56% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 35 |
11º
|
43% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 34 |
12º
|
36% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 31 |
13º
|
55% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 28 |
14º
|
74.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
15º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
16º
|
57.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 0
KAG
77%
14%
10%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KAG
1 - 4
STA
21%
20%
59%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
KAG
1 - 1
FCW
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FIR
3 - 0
KAG
79%
13%
9%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
AUS
3 - 0
KAG
81%
12%
7%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Simmeringer SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 2
SKS
33%
22%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
SIM
50%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
DON
2 - 2
SIM
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SIM
2 - 0
RED
30%
22%
49%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SVH
2 - 1
SIM
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |