Kagera Sugar vs Namungo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
16º
10º
39
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
POL
0 - 0
KAG
29%
30%
40%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
KAG
0 - 0
COA
45%
29%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
SBS
1 - 0
KAG
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
DJF
2 - 0
KAG
35%
29%
35%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 2022 |
KAG
2 - 2
GGF
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Namungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
YOU
2 - 0
NAM
49%
26%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 1
ALH
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
KMC
1 - 3
NAM
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NAM
0 - 2
POL
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
COA
1 - 1
NAM
24%
28%
48%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |