Kagera Sugar vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
30.4%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.4%
29.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
16º
10º
35
2º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 40 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
53% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
57.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
29.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
72% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kagera Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
TAN
0 - 1
KAG
35%
30%
35%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
MBE
2 - 2
KAG
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KAG
0 - 1
YOU
29%
30%
40%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
KAG
1 - 0
KMC
32%
31%
37%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
NAM
2 - 1
KAG
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
MTI
2 - 1
POL
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
MTI
2 - 1
COA
36%
30%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MTI
3 - 4
AZA
27%
30%
43%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIM
5 - 0
MTI
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
DJF
0 - 1
MTI
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |